François Vadrot, Sept. 14, 2025
An unprecedented appointment under the Fifth Republic
Since the creation of the Fifth Republic in 1958, no sitting Minister of Defense has ever been elevated directly to the post of Prime Minister. Pierre Messmer, Minister of the Armed Forces from 1959 to 1969, only returned as Prime Minister in 1972 after three years of retreat — hardly a direct succession.
The only true precedent is Maurice Bourgès-Maunoury, under the Fourth Republic in 1957, at the height of the Algerian war. In the aftermath of the Suez expedition, he authorized the transfer of nuclear technology to Israel, paving the way for the Dimona program.
👉 In peacetime, Lecornu’s promotion is therefore a historic first under the Fifth Republic.
The 2023 law as a legal lock
The 2023 Military Programming Law (2024–2030) gave the executive a reinforced legal arsenal. It allows the state, in the event of an “actual or foreseeable threat,” to requisition people, goods, and services, with penalties for refusal. This is not full mobilization, but rather a ready-made legal toolbox for partial militarization. Macron can thus rule by decree within a war logic.
The American parallel
In the United States, Trump has resurrected the title of Secretary of War, abandoned in 1947 in favor of the softer Secretary of Defense. This is not bureaucratic trivia but a political signal: calling war by its name. In France, Macron lifts a Minister of Defense straight to Matignon — a first in the Fifth Republic. Two gestures that reveal the same climate: the West is settling into open confrontation.
Governing by decree
By appointing Lecornu, Macron has no reason to risk a confidence vote that could topple him. The institutions of the Fifth Republic allow him to maintain a Prime Minister without passing through parliament, as long as no motion of censure succeeds. Matignon thus becomes a command tower, governing by decree and 49.3, sidelining the Assembly. The narrative shifts: it is no longer about reform, but about “holding” and “protecting.”
Projection without crossing the line
In this logic, France can reinforce its military presence in the East — Romania, Poland, the Baltic states — without crossing into Ukraine. It is the strategy of pre-positioning: visible troops, stockpiled materiel, logistical cooperation, training exercises. This allows Macron to:
Restore international credibility by posing as Europe’s driver.
Reframe the domestic scene under the banner of national security.
Prepare the military apparatus for future escalation.
Macron’s calculus
What does he gain from triggering or embracing war? No electoral victory, no reform to rescue. But a cold rationality of survival:
To dissolve domestic failure beneath the martial narrative.
To shield himself from political irrelevance by becoming the “war president” rather than the “useless president.”
To consolidate the state apparatus through militarization and exceptional authority.
To reclaim Western centrality by posing as Europe’s leader, while Washington is absorbed by its own fractures, the Caribbean, and Israel.
The paradox
The United States will not open a European front: too polarized, too absorbed by other priorities. They will leave Europeans to hold the line, while directing from afar. Macron’s bet is to turn France into the standard-bearer of a front Washington itself will not carry.
👉 In short: Lecornu at Matignon is not a stopgap but a signal. Macron can no longer govern civil France, so he prepares military France. After “En Marche” and “Renaissance,” only one word remains: the “Standard.”
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