„Warum gibt Iran nicht auf?“ – Trumps Frage zeigt das Iran-Desaster
Day 17 of the war with Iran. Wait, let me say that again: day 17.
And do you know what is happening right now in the corridors of the White House? Donald Trump is sitting in his office asking his advisors a question that changes everything: Why aren’t the Persians giving up?
The Wall Street Journal leaked it. The most powerful man in the world is surprised. I repeat: surprised. The man who said this war would end very soon. The man who claimed Iran no longer had a navy or an air force.
This man does not understand why Tehran keeps fighting. And here comes the part that kept me awake all night: his advisors are privately urging him to find an exit. Privately. That means publicly they talk about victory, but behind closed doors there is total panic. That is an admission of weakness.
Trump expected a quick victory. A repeat of his 12-day war last June. But reality looks completely different.
After 17 days, Iran is still firing missiles, has mined the Strait of Hormuz and — here’s the kicker — is exporting more oil than before the war. Plus 30%. Let that sink in.
The United States has been bombing Iran for over two weeks, allegedly hitting 6,000 targets, destroying the Iranian navy and disabling the air force. And yet Iranian oil exports are rising. How is that possible? China.
The Chinese take every barrel Tehran offers. No sanctions, no rules, just business. While Trump thought he would bring Iran to its knees, the mullahs rerouted their ships, activated new trade routes, and are making more money than before.
The Wall Street Journal reports that Trump keeps asking the same question in meetings: why aren’t they capitulating? His advisors have no answer. Or rather, they do have an answer, but Trump does not want to hear it.
The answer is: because the plan has failed. Because the American military can hit targets, but cannot bomb political solutions out of the sky. Because Iran is a very different opponent from Afghanistan or Iraq.
Wait, it gets worse. Trump’s public statements change daily. First unconditional surrender, then “very soon over,” then “almost nothing left to bomb.”
And now this desperate question: why aren’t they giving up? This is not strategy. This is improvisation. This is a president realizing that his biggest foreign policy gamble is spiraling out of control.
Republicans are getting nervous. Polls show that the majority of Americans oppose this war. Oil prices have surged above $100 per barrel, briefly reaching $119.
At gas stations across the United States, people are paying record prices. The midterm elections are coming, and Trump’s advisors know: if the war continues for weeks, we lose Congress.
That’s why the leak to the Wall Street Journal. That’s why the private push for an exit plan. They are trying to gently steer the president toward the exit without him losing face.
But Trump is Trump. He cannot just stop. He has to declare victory, even if there isn’t one.
So he tells the press: “We are far ahead of schedule.” That is Orwellian language. “Ahead of schedule” means, in Trump’s world: we no longer have a schedule because the original plan has collapsed.
And here is the thing: Iran knows it. The Revolutionary Guards issued a statement.
Iran will decide when the war ends.
That is a direct response to Trump’s claims. Tehran is telling the most powerful man in the world to his face: you do not control this war. We do.
And the facts prove them right.
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